Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 78.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 73.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Giroux
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Giroux
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Giroux
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
47.2% (687)
+13.8%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
45.0% (20)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
33.0% (88)
+32.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gourde
Home
66.6% (350)
44.4% (356)
Away
59.2% (346)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Giroux
Gourde
P1
62.1%
42.2%
P2
64.7%
50.0%
P3
61.6%
44.5%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |