Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Keller wins 28.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Keller 46.6% vs Zegras 37.0% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.0%
Defensive zone
Keller 59.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Keller
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Keller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (29)
33.0% (264)
+4.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
32.1% (56)
-7.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Keller is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Keller shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Keller
Zegras
Home
43.8% (16)
35.3% (173)
Away
29.4% (17)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Keller
Zegras
P1
30.8%
33.0%
P2
50.0%
35.7%
P3
25.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Keller
36.0%▼
39.5%
36.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%