Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 50.7% vs Evans 52.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Eakin
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Eakin
Evans
Last 8: Eakin 7-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
1
0
Eakin
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
4
1
Eakin
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (7,633)
53.7% (3,740)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.1% (483)
60.6% (71)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,113)
47.1% (1,228)
+0.1%
On power play, Evans has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Eakin is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,398).
Eakin shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Eakin
Evans
Home
51.7% (4,680)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
49.7% (4,549)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Eakin
Evans
P1
49.6%
54.0%
P2
51.2%
50.9%
P3
51.3%
52.0%
OT
47.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |