Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glass wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glass 53.7% vs Hertl 57.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.9%
Defensive zone
Glass 68.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 70.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Glass
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Glass
Hertl
Last 5: Glass 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Glass
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glass
1
0
Glass
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glass
1
0
Glass
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glass
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (737)
58.7% (858)
-5.0%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
55.8% (285)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (50)
62.9% (35)
-6.9%
On power play, Glass has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glass is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Glass shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Glass
Hertl
Home
54.8% (423)
60.1% (599)
Away
53.4% (382)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Glass
Hertl
P1
54.2%
52.4%
P2
51.3%
63.9%
P3
56.9%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glass
56.0%▬
56.5%
54.2%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Cody Glass |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Cody Glass |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Cody Glass |