Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 78.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 68.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Last 10: Hodgson 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
4
2
Hodgson
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
48.6% (6,646)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
55.2% (829)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
44.3% (614)
-1.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Bjugstad
Home
48.8% (1,431)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Hodgson
Bjugstad
P1
47.9%
48.9%
P2
48.9%
49.1%
P3
42.3%
48.5%
OT
44.1%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |