Scouting Report
Cody Hodgson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Rakell 44.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Rakell leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rakell 66.1%
Defensive zone
Rakell 58.3%
Neutral zone
Rakell 63.8%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Hodgson
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Hodgson
Rakell
Last 10: Hodgson 3-7 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
4
Hodgson
Rakell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
2
5
Hodgson
Rakell
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
44.2% (1,886)
+2.0%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
50.2% (203)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
21.7% (23)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Rakell is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Rakell
Home
48.8% (1,431)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
42.4% (1,058)
By Period
Hodgson
Rakell
P1
47.9%
45.6%
P2
48.9%
41.9%
P3
42.3%
46.1%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |