Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 45.9%). Look for Hodgson on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.0%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 56.6%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Hodgson
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hodgson
Gagner
Last 10: Hodgson 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
5
4
Hodgson
Gagner
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
45.4% (4,699)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
51.5% (928)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
35.0% (226)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Gagner
Home
48.8% (1,431)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Hodgson
Gagner
P1
47.9%
44.6%
P2
48.9%
46.1%
P3
42.3%
47.3%
OT
44.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |