Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Hodgson wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Hodgson leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 61.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Hodgson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Hodgson
Stamkos
Last 10: Hodgson 9-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Hodgson
Stamkos
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hodgson
Stamkos
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
8
6
Hodgson
Stamkos
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,353)
50.5% (9,825)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.9% (493)
55.2% (1,729)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (157)
49.6% (827)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hodgson is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,049).
Hodgson shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Stamkos
Home
48.8% (1,431)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
44.3% (1,577)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Hodgson
Stamkos
P1
47.9%
49.2%
P2
48.9%
52.7%
P3
42.3%
50.9%
OT
44.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.4%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |