Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.5%). Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCormick wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Stepan 46.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McCormick leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
McCormick
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McCormick
Stepan
Last 10: McCormick 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCormick
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
1
McCormick
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCormick
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
46.5% (10,204)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
48.8% (1,593)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
44.2% (1,368)
-2.6%
On power play, Stepan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. McCormick is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McCormick shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
McCormick
Stepan
Home
47.9% (486)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
42.6% (364)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
McCormick
Stepan
P1
47.8%
47.5%
P2
42.4%
45.6%
P3
46.5%
46.8%
OT
100.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |