Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 45.9%). McCormick wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Nazar 46.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Nazar 67.1%
Defensive zone
McCormick 66.9%
Neutral zone
Nazar 50.8%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
McCormick
Nazar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
46.3% (907)
+0.0%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
48.1% (183)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
35.6% (73)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, McCormick has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. McCormick is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McCormick shoots right. Nazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
McCormick
Nazar
Home
47.9% (486)
44.2% (536)
Away
42.6% (364)
47.4% (627)
By Period
McCormick
Nazar
P1
47.8%
47.7%
P2
42.4%
42.2%
P3
46.5%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%