Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.1%). Look for Cave on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Brassard 49.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 71.9%
Defensive zone
Cave 62.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Cave
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Cave
Brassard
Last 9: Cave 7-2 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cave
3
0
Cave
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
2
1
Cave
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
2
1
Cave
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
48.7% (8,464)
+1.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
52.3% (1,260)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
50.3% (179)
-8.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Cave
Brassard
Home
46.8% (233)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
51.3% (267)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Cave
Brassard
P1
46.3%
49.0%
P2
48.3%
49.8%
P3
53.7%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |