Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cave 49.3% vs Peca 50.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 52.1%
Defensive zone
Cave 54.6%
Neutral zone
Cave 50.4%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Cave
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cave
Peca
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
0
1
Cave
Peca
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cave
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (445)
51.5% (423)
-1.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
12.5% (8)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
44.2% (43)
-2.3%
On power play, Cave has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Cave shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Cave
Peca
Home
46.8% (233)
46.1% (193)
Away
51.3% (267)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Cave
Peca
P1
46.3%
56.6%
P2
48.3%
44.4%
P3
53.7%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |