Scouting Report
Cole Guttman holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Guttman wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.9% vs Veleno 47.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 52.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Guttman
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Guttman
Veleno
Last 5: Guttman 2-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
3
Guttman
Veleno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guttman
1
0
Guttman
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (272)
47.3% (2,317)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
51.0% (98)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
36.4% (88)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Guttman is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Guttman shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Guttman
Veleno
Home
57.6% (118)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
46.8% (171)
48.6% (1,367)
By Period
Guttman
Veleno
P1
47.6%
47.9%
P2
51.5%
47.7%
P3
56.3%
45.9%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Cole Guttman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |