Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Guttman wins 38.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.0% vs McCarron 52.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guttman 59.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.3%
Neutral zone
Guttman 52.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Guttman
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Guttman
McCarron
Last 5: Guttman 2-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guttman
1
0
Guttman
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Guttman
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (111)
54.5% (618)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
42.1% (19)
-42.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
35.3% (34)
-18.6%
On power play, McCarron has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Guttman is 38.2% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Guttman shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Guttman
McCarron
Home
55.9% (59)
52.2% (339)
Away
44.3% (61)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Guttman
McCarron
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
51.1%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
50.0%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Cole Guttman |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |