Scouting Report
Cole Guttman holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Guttman wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.9% vs Johnston 49.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 65.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 61.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 61.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Guttman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Guttman
Johnston
Last 8: Guttman 2-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Guttman
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
4
Guttman
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
2
1
Guttman
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (272)
49.1% (2,232)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
52.5% (179)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.7% (237)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Guttman is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Guttman shoots right. Johnston is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Guttman
Johnston
Home
57.6% (118)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
46.8% (171)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Guttman
Johnston
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
51.5%
48.1%
P3
56.3%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |