Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Perfetti on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Perfetti wins 19.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perfetti 43.8% vs Stenlund 51.2% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perfetti 80.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.4%
Neutral zone
Perfetti 50.3%
Result
Cole Perfetti favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Perfetti
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Perfetti
Stenlund
Last 5: Perfetti 2-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perfetti
2
1
Perfetti
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Perfetti
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Perfetti
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perfetti
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
32.9% (79)
54.4% (592)
-21.5%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
42.9% (14)
+11.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Perfetti is 19.4% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Perfetti shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Perfetti
Stenlund
Home
36.5% (63)
50.7% (402)
Away
39.5% (38)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Perfetti
Stenlund
P1
38.5%
56.5%
P2
37.0%
52.4%
P3
37.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perfetti
38.0%▲
34.6%
37.6%
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Cole Perfetti |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Cole Perfetti |