Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perfetti 49.5% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Perfetti 52.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Perfetti
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (7)
55.7% (856)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.5% (233)
-7.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perfetti is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Perfetti shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Home
66.7% (6)
55.5% (616)
Away
0.0% (3)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Perfetti
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.1%
P2
40.0%
54.9%
P3
50.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perfetti
38.0%▲
34.6%
44.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%