Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schwindt wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Drury 57.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 81.2%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 80.8%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 82.2%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Schwindt
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Schwindt
Drury
Last 7: Schwindt 2-5 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Schwindt
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
2
Schwindt
Drury
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
3
Schwindt
Drury
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
57.9% (2,010)
-9.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.5% (118)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
53.0% (300)
+3.3%
On even strength, Drury has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Schwindt is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Schwindt shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Drury
Home
45.5% (213)
57.9% (1,234)
Away
52.5% (179)
56.7% (1,194)
By Period
Schwindt
Drury
P1
51.8%
55.9%
P2
48.6%
58.7%
P3
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jack Drury |