Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwindt wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Finley 50.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Finley leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwindt 72.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 65.2%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 53.0%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Schwindt
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Schwindt
Finley
Last 10: Schwindt 5-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
2
Schwindt
Finley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
3
4
Schwindt
Finley
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
50.4% (284)
-2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
50.0% (14)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
51.5% (33)
+4.8%
On power play, Schwindt has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Schwindt is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Schwindt shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Finley
Home
45.5% (213)
53.8% (199)
Away
52.5% (179)
45.5% (132)
By Period
Schwindt
Finley
P1
51.8%
52.8%
P2
48.6%
47.5%
P3
46.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jack Finley |