Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Schwindt wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 46.8% vs Evans 55.0% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 74.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Schwindt
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (122)
55.6% (522)
-12.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
72.7% (11)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
55.2% (210)
-10.8%
On even strength, Evans has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schwindt is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Schwindt shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Evans
Home
40.3% (77)
54.7% (402)
Away
50.0% (58)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Schwindt
Evans
P1
47.6%
57.9%
P2
42.9%
55.2%
P3
43.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%