Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 46.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 68.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 70.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Schwindt
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schwindt
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Schwindt
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (122)
47.2% (687)
-3.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
45.0% (20)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
33.0% (88)
+11.4%
On power play, Schwindt has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schwindt is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Schwindt shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Gourde
Home
40.3% (77)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.0% (58)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Schwindt
Gourde
P1
47.6%
42.2%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
43.2%
44.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |