Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.6%). Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Dewar 48.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 59.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 60.9%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Sillinger
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sillinger
Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
0
Sillinger
Dewar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Sillinger
Dewar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
45.6% (114)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
50.0% (2)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
52.9% (17)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dewar
Home
47.9% (374)
45.3% (64)
Away
45.2% (405)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Sillinger
Dewar
P1
48.5%
33.3%
P2
47.8%
44.2%
P3
42.8%
64.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.5%
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |