Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Tavares 56.8% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 58.1%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 66.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 70.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Sillinger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Sillinger
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Sillinger
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (101)
57.7% (975)
-20.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.0% (250)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On power play, Sillinger has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sillinger is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Sillinger shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Tavares
Home
35.7% (56)
57.4% (636)
Away
43.6% (55)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Sillinger
Tavares
P1
45.6%
57.5%
P2
28.6%
56.9%
P3
38.5%
57.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |