Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Toews 60.4% (-22.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.1%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 51.3%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 53.2%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Sillinger
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sillinger
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Sillinger
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (101)
62.6% (728)
-25.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
59.4% (143)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.9% (32)
+3.1%
On power play, Sillinger has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sillinger is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Sillinger shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Toews
Home
35.7% (56)
61.1% (455)
Away
43.6% (55)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Sillinger
Toews
P1
45.6%
59.7%
P2
28.6%
66.7%
P3
38.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |