Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Scheifele 48.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.8%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 61.5%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 62.7%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Sillinger
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sillinger
Scheifele
Last 6: Sillinger 2-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
4
Sillinger
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
47.8% (960)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
47.0% (219)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
60.7% (28)
-42.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Scheifele
Home
45.5% (365)
50.7% (611)
Away
42.9% (331)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Sillinger
Scheifele
P1
42.5%
51.4%
P2
43.9%
47.3%
P3
46.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
44.3%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |