Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Barzal 39.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 54.7%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 80.7%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 82.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Sillinger
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sillinger
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Sillinger
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
35.0% (283)
+9.6%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
55.6% (9)
-1.3%
On even strength, Sillinger has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Barzal
Home
45.5% (365)
37.0% (138)
Away
42.9% (331)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Sillinger
Barzal
P1
42.5%
29.5%
P2
43.9%
44.5%
P3
46.3%
31.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
44.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |