Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Cates 45.5% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Cates 55.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Sillinger
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (101)
45.5% (756)
-7.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
42.1% (114)
+57.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On power play, Sillinger has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Sillinger is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Sillinger shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Cates
Home
35.7% (56)
46.2% (468)
Away
43.6% (55)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Sillinger
Cates
P1
45.6%
46.0%
P2
28.6%
47.5%
P3
38.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%