Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Carrick 52.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Carrick 63.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 94.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 80.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Sillinger
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Sillinger
Carrick
Last 10: Sillinger 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
6
2
Sillinger
Carrick
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Sillinger
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
0
Sillinger
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,803)
52.2% (2,544)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
61.3% (75)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
50.8% (435)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sillinger is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,109).
Sillinger shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Carrick
Home
46.5% (1,622)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Sillinger
Carrick
P1
45.6%
51.8%
P2
45.5%
52.3%
P3
45.8%
52.6%
OT
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |