Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 89.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 80.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Sillinger
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Sillinger
Monahan
Last 10: Sillinger 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
6
0
Sillinger
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Sillinger
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
7
6
Sillinger
Monahan
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,792)
51.1% (11,197)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
53.6% (2,558)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
46.0% (733)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,088).
Sillinger shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Monahan
Home
46.5% (1,615)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
44.8% (1,582)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Sillinger
Monahan
P1
45.7%
51.0%
P2
45.4%
51.6%
P3
45.9%
51.1%
OT
47.8%
53.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
45.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |