Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Blackwell wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Compher 51.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 55.5%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 69.3%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 59.8%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Blackwell
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Blackwell
Compher
Last 5: Blackwell 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
3
Blackwell
Compher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
53.1% (784)
-4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.8% (31)
-54.8%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
36.8% (95)
-5.4%
On power play, Compher has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Blackwell is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Blackwell shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Compher
Home
44.3% (149)
51.3% (452)
Away
41.2% (119)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Blackwell
Compher
P1
46.1%
54.9%
P2
34.5%
49.0%
P3
47.8%
50.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |