Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Benn 52.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 61.0%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 88.8%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 65.3%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Blackwell
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Blackwell
Benn
Last 10: Blackwell 3-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
4
Blackwell
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Blackwell
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
53.5% (6,456)
-4.2%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
52.6% (2,055)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
49.3% (515)
-8.8%
On power play, Blackwell has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Blackwell shoots right. Benn is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,771).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Benn
Home
46.0% (485)
54.9% (4,550)
Away
48.9% (523)
51.0% (4,492)
By Period
Blackwell
Benn
P1
47.3%
51.9%
P2
47.2%
52.6%
P3
48.1%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
62.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |