Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Hischier 55.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 76.0%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 75.6%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 62.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Blackwell
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Blackwell
Hischier
Last 7: Blackwell 3-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Blackwell
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
55.5% (1,172)
-6.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.5% (265)
-64.5%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
43.9% (164)
-12.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +64.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hischier
Home
44.3% (149)
56.8% (791)
Away
41.2% (119)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Blackwell
Hischier
P1
46.1%
56.0%
P2
34.5%
58.6%
P3
47.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |