Colin Blackwell vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 53.1%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 73.5%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 63.8%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
52.5% (320)
-3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
42.4% (59)
-11.0%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
Home
44.3% (149)
49.1% (171)
Away
41.2% (119)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Blackwell
Ostapchuk
P1
46.1%
50.4%
P2
34.5%
46.8%
P3
47.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |