Scouting Report
David Legwand holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Legwand 48.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 55.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 54.0%
Neutral zone
Fraser 52.8%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Fraser
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Fraser
Legwand
Last 9: Fraser 4-5 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
5
Fraser
Legwand
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Legwand
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
47.7% (4,202)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
55.6% (516)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
41.6% (481)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Legwand has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Legwand is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,407).
Home / Away
Fraser
Legwand
Home
48.6% (661)
50.2% (2,607)
Away
44.0% (602)
45.6% (2,611)
By Period
Fraser
Legwand
P1
46.7%
49.8%
P2
46.4%
48.0%
P3
46.2%
46.6%
OT
33.3%
35.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | David Legwand |