Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Cullen 53.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 59.7%
Defensive zone
Fraser 55.1%
Neutral zone
Fraser 56.6%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Fraser
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Fraser
Cullen
Last 9: Fraser 4-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
4
Fraser
Cullen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
54.8% (5,371)
-6.8%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
52.3% (421)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
48.0% (953)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Fraser
Cullen
Home
48.6% (661)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
44.0% (602)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Fraser
Cullen
P1
46.7%
54.7%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
46.2%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
62.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |