Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fraser wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 46.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Fraser leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 62.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Fraser
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Fraser
Bonino
Last 10: Fraser 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
3
1
Fraser
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
7
6
Fraser
Bonino
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,036)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.6%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
54.1% (972)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (187)
44.6% (1,693)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Fraser shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Fraser
Bonino
Home
48.6% (661)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.0% (602)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Fraser
Bonino
P1
46.7%
50.6%
P2
46.4%
48.5%
P3
46.2%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2010 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |