Scouting Report
Colin White holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). White wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 45.4% vs Novak 43.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.9%
Defensive zone
White 58.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
White
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
White
Novak
Last 7: White 3-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: White
1
0
White
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
2
4
White
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (2,090)
41.8% (1,568)
+2.8%
Power Play
51.2% (242)
51.5% (134)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
50.0% (2)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. White is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
White shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
White
Novak
Home
46.2% (1,138)
45.1% (831)
Away
44.2% (1,234)
40.2% (873)
By Period
White
Novak
P1
45.9%
43.7%
P2
44.6%
42.8%
P3
45.3%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
45.2%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Colin White |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |