Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Haula 52.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Wilson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 68.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 93.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 78.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Wilson
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Wilson
Haula
Last 10: Wilson 7-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
0
Wilson
Haula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wilson
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
3
1
Wilson
Haula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
52.8% (7,726)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
57.3% (607)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.4% (798)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
Wilson
Haula
Home
46.1% (531)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
46.1% (564)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
Wilson
Haula
P1
46.6%
53.2%
P2
43.2%
51.4%
P3
48.8%
52.6%
OT
45.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |