Scouting Report
James Sheppard holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheppard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheppard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Sheppard 48.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 78.4%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 60.0%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Wilson
Sheppard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Wilson
Sheppard
Last 6: Wilson 4-2 Sheppard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Sheppard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheppard
1
2
Wilson
Sheppard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
0
Wilson
Sheppard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Sheppard
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
48.4% (744)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
47.8% (46)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
75.0% (4)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Sheppard has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheppard shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Sheppard is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Wilson
Sheppard
Home
46.1% (531)
49.4% (474)
Away
46.1% (564)
47.2% (320)
By Period
Wilson
Sheppard
P1
46.6%
47.8%
P2
43.2%
44.9%
P3
48.8%
52.8%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |