Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wilson 88.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 73.7%
Neutral zone
Wilson 61.4%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Wilson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Wilson
Koivu
Last 10: Wilson 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
2
0
Wilson
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Wilson
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
51.9% (3,221)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
59.3% (437)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.0% (764)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Wilson
Koivu
Home
46.1% (531)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
46.1% (564)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Wilson
Koivu
P1
46.6%
51.1%
P2
43.2%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
51.8%
OT
45.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |