Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs McDavid 48.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 84.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 79.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Sissons
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sissons
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Sissons
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
47.7% (686)
+10.2%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
49.3% (75)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
48.9% (45)
+3.9%
On power play, Sissons has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Sissons
McDavid
Home
53.6% (278)
50.0% (412)
Away
60.0% (305)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Sissons
McDavid
P1
56.2%
48.0%
P2
58.3%
48.5%
P3
56.4%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |