Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Sissons wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 80.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 78.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Sissons
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Sissons
Stepan
Last 10: Sissons 3-7 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
12
Sissons
Stepan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
8
2
Sissons
Stepan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
3
Sissons
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,081)
46.5% (10,204)
+9.0%
Power Play
55.6% (459)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
44.2% (1,368)
+4.3%
On even strength, Sissons has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sissons is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,456).
Sissons shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stepan
Home
54.1% (4,256)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Sissons
Stepan
P1
53.8%
47.5%
P2
53.2%
45.6%
P3
54.8%
46.8%
OT
49.1%
40.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
53.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |