Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs McBain 50.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 79.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 67.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Sissons
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sissons
McBain
Last 5: Sissons 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
3
Sissons
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
52.5% (569)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
42.1% (19)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
36.2% (47)
+16.6%
On power play, Sissons has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Sissons
McBain
Home
53.6% (278)
52.4% (309)
Away
60.0% (305)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Sissons
McBain
P1
56.2%
54.0%
P2
58.3%
52.7%
P3
56.4%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jack McBain |