Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Guentzel 48.1% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 87.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.8%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 54.4%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Sissons
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Sissons
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
49.1% (230)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
44.9% (118)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
46.2% (26)
+6.6%
On power play, Sissons has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Guentzel is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Sissons
Guentzel
Home
53.6% (278)
50.2% (205)
Away
60.0% (305)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Sissons
Guentzel
P1
56.2%
47.6%
P2
58.3%
49.0%
P3
56.4%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |