Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Toews 60.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 79.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 54.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Sissons
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sissons
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
62.6% (728)
-4.7%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
59.4% (143)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
46.9% (32)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Sissons
Toews
Home
53.6% (278)
61.1% (455)
Away
60.0% (305)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Sissons
Toews
P1
56.2%
59.7%
P2
58.3%
66.7%
P3
56.4%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |