Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.8% vs Staal 54.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 56.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Sissons
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sissons
Staal
Last 6: Sissons 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Sissons
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (436)
56.2% (989)
+1.4%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
66.0% (159)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
42.7% (253)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Sissons shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Sissons
Staal
Home
53.3% (274)
55.4% (699)
Away
60.0% (305)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Sissons
Staal
P1
55.7%
55.7%
P2
58.3%
54.7%
P3
56.4%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |