Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 58.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Sissons
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sissons
Stenlund
Last 6: Sissons 2-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Sissons
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Sissons
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
56.2% (650)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
53.2% (47)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
51.6% (312)
+1.2%
On power play, Sissons has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Sissons is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Sissons shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stenlund
Home
53.6% (278)
56.9% (483)
Away
60.0% (305)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Sissons
Stenlund
P1
56.2%
54.2%
P2
58.3%
53.2%
P3
56.4%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |