Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.7%). Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Eller 53.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 60.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 55.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 50.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Sissons
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sissons
Eller
Last 5: Sissons 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Sissons
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
1
Sissons
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
53.8% (865)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
57.1% (21)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
52.6% (137)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Sissons
Eller
Home
54.8% (569)
56.4% (486)
Away
52.1% (539)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Sissons
Eller
P1
56.1%
55.1%
P2
49.6%
55.3%
P3
54.8%
51.7%
OT
66.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |