Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 56.9%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.8% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 84.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 86.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Sissons
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sissons
Draisaitl
Last 7: Sissons 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Sissons
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Sissons
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (436)
55.9% (835)
+1.7%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
61.8% (228)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
50.0% (40)
+2.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Sissons shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Sissons
Draisaitl
Home
53.3% (274)
55.1% (508)
Away
60.0% (305)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Sissons
Draisaitl
P1
55.7%
55.8%
P2
58.3%
55.7%
P3
56.4%
59.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |