Colton Sissons vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 92.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 60.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 71.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 92.5%
7.5%
92.5%
Sissons
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Sissons
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Sissons
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
49.7% (1,038)
+8.2%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
63.7% (157)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
34.4% (32)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Sissons is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Sissons shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Sissons
MacKinnon
Home
53.6% (278)
53.1% (618)
Away
60.0% (305)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Sissons
MacKinnon
P1
56.2%
49.3%
P2
58.3%
53.0%
P3
56.4%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |