Colton Sissons vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 87.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 70.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 61.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 87.3%
12.7%
87.3%
Sissons
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Sissons
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Sissons
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (336)
49.1% (825)
+6.9%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
65.4% (130)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
34.5% (29)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Sissons is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Sissons shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Sissons
MacKinnon
Home
51.6% (213)
52.6% (489)
Away
58.5% (212)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Sissons
MacKinnon
P1
54.3%
50.3%
P2
57.8%
52.6%
P3
52.9%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
55.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |